NAIOP Industrial Demand Forecast in GlobeSt.com
The Q12015 Industrial Demand Forecast, produced by the NAIOP Research Foundation, was featured in an article on GlobeSt.com. The article, in part, reads:
Net demand for industrial space could reach 242 million square feet in 2015, thanks to the US economy’s accelerated growth through the end of 2014 and its robust indications of strength for 2015. So says a new NAIOP Research Foundation report.
According to the NAIOP report, the consumer segment of the economy appears healthier than it has since 2007, before the Great Recession. Specifically, retail spending has set new record highs almost every month and unemployment has hovered around the near full employment level of 5.6% as of December 2014.
The NAIOP reports indicates the appearance of some gains in real wages in industries, such as leisure and hospitality and information. What’s more, the researchers said the recent decline in oil and gasoline prices offers a strong stimulus to many lower- and middle-income families—and that will translate into increased consumer productivity.
“A great deal of the demand for industrial space to come from firms that produce and distribute consumer goods, and that’s why commercial real estate is seeing such a boom in e-commerce fulfillment and distribution facilities,” Thomas Bisacquino, NAIOP president and CEO, tells GlobeSt.com. “Another leading sector is automotive, which has grown considerably—auto sales are up 6.03% in 2014—and is strongly recovering from the recession.”
The study's authors note one gloomy sector of industrial demand will likely be oil and gas producers and their servicers, contractors and suppliers. The fall of oil prices to below $50 per barrel is assuredly going to translate into reduced oil exploration activities in the US and elsewhere as supply outshoots demand.
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About NAIOP: NAIOP, the Commercial Real Estate Development Association, is the leading organization for developers, owners and related professionals in office, industrial, retail and mixed-use real estate. NAIOP comprises 19,000 members in North America. NAIOP advances responsible commercial real estate development and advocates for effective public policy. For more information, visit naiop.org.